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Will voter turnout in the 2026 Quebec general election be 62-66%?

No89%
Yes12%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$1.2K
Spread11%
ResolvesOct 6, 2026in 6 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

Sourcehttps://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca

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As of Sep 30, 03:37 PM UTC