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Will Eva Nemčovská win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?

No55%
Yes45%

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24h volume$47
7d volume$47
30d volume$3.7K
Liquidity$232.6
Spread9%
ResolvesOct 25, 2026in 25 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The 2026 Trnava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Trnava as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trnava, Trnava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).

Sourcehttps://volby.statistics.sk/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Ľubica Horváthová win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Andrea Čajková win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?Polymarket91% NoOpen
Will Branislav Baroš win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?Polymarket63% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 10:08 PM UTC