Will Renan Santos win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
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Resolution rules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Sourcehttps://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/
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Will Renan Santos win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
49 holders · 8 comments · read Sep 28, 12:47 AM UTC
- KalshiOpen →
Brazil presidential election: first round winner?: Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
If Renan Santos wins the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
read Sep 29, 07:46 PM UTC
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.Venue activity
Read from the venue 2 days agoTop holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296691896696465702822219385449449455359140712314950849483738538257073184029158527
- Hasty-Worker115733938737169134574203339057872413857605206485174074018891100028816782064411
- donthackme115733938737169134574203339057872413857605206485174074018891100028816782064411
- Mr.Passenger115733938737169134574203339057872413857605206485174074018891100028816782064411
- worldcomputer.fund115733938737169134574203339057872413857605206485174074018891100028816782064411
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Discussion on Predxy
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8 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- Rondon · 7 days ago
Bora, galera! Comprem o Flavinho.
- betjunkie · 7 days ago
This is closer to 50/50 than it looks.
- donsatoshi · 9 days ago
esse gap aí vai fechar
- K1KE · 19 days ago
Si es verdad, los votos de Cury parecen artificiales mas por el hecho que subio practicamente en tiempo record, es probable que algunos en el sondeo solo digan Cury por ser el mas moderado y al final voten por Lula o Flavio como voto util o que estos decidan votar por otro pero para evitar que los molesten o hostiguen por su voto solo dicen Cury, no lo sabremos hasta el dia de la votación.
- Flustered-Extinction · 19 days ago
Eu não consigo ver realidade desses votos do Cury, parecem artificiais
- K1KE · 22 days ago
Lula esta un poco inflado pero justificado en los sondeos, mas si vez en las encuestas que Cury a capitalizado los votos molestos e indignados con Flavio y Lula, Flavio tiene chances reales de pasar como mejor 1ero a la 2da vuelta pero por ahora esta algo complicado, si quieres apuesta pero como especulación ya que Lula al ser el gobierno actual su tendencia es clara ir a la baja y su voto total ya se sabe en esta 1era vuelta así que no va subir más.
- Noxious-Pathway · 25 days ago
esse gráfico não deveria estar de acordo com o grafico oficial da eleição? no grafico da eleição, a tendencia do lula é de queda e o flávio esta subindo. o lula deveria estar em tendencia de queda e no minimo, entre 50 e 40%
- Noxious-Pathway · 29 days ago
???
As of Sep 29, 10:20 PM UTC