Will London have between 40-50mm of precipitation in September?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in September, 2026, according to the Met Office. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for September 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of September 2026 is released. If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September? | Polymarket | 91% Yes | Open |
| Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in September? | Polymarket | 94% No | Open |
| Will London have between 50-60mm of precipitation in September? | Polymarket | 98% No | Open |
| Will London have 80mm or more of precipitation in September? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will London have between 70-80mm of precipitation in September? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will London have between 60-70mm of precipitation in September? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 08:34 PM UTC