Will Seoul have between 125-150mm of precipitation in September?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in September, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of September at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026. If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Seoul have between 200-250mm of precipitation in September? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Seoul have between 75-100mm of precipitation in September? | Polymarket | 98% No | Open |
| Will Seoul have between 100-125mm of precipitation in September? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September? | Polymarket | 96% Yes | Open |
| Will Seoul have between 150-175mm of precipitation in September? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Seoul have 250mm or more of precipitation in September? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Seoul have between 175-200mm of precipitation in September? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Sep 30, 07:46 PM UTC