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Holborn and St Pancras by-election winner?: Will Green Party win the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election?

No79%
Green Party21%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread5%
ResolvesMar 1, 2027in 5 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 1Sep 8Sep 16Sep 23Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Green Party wins the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

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As of Sep 30, 03:27 AM UTC