KalshiOpen

How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026?: Will an earthquake of at least 7.0 magnitude occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026? 7.0+

No86%

7.0+14%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:48 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesOct 1, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If an earthquake with a magnitude at least 7.0 on the Moment Magnitude Scale occurs with its epicenter in worldwide before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026?: Will an earthquake of at least 6.8 magnitude occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026? 6.8+	Kalshi	79% No	$10.3	—	—	Open
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026?: Will an earthquake of at least 7.2 magnitude occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026? 7.2+	Kalshi	91% No	$1	—	—	Open
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026?: Will an earthquake of at least 8.0 magnitude occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026? 8.0+	Kalshi	91% No	$0	—	—	Open
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026?: Will an earthquake of at least 7.7 magnitude occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026? 7.7+	Kalshi	85% No	$0	—	—	Open
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026?: Will an earthquake of at least 7.1 magnitude occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026? 7.1+	Kalshi	60% 7.1+	$0	—	—	Open
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026?: Will an earthquake of at least 6.9 magnitude occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026? 6.9+	Kalshi	87% No	$0	—	—	Open
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026?: Will an earthquake of at least 7.9 magnitude occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026? 7.9+	Kalshi	87% No	$0	—	—	Open
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026?: Will an earthquake of at least 7.8 magnitude occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026? 7.8+	Kalshi	93% No	$0	—	—	Open
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026?: Will an earthquake of at least 7.6 magnitude occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026? 7.6+	Kalshi	90% No	$0	—	—	Open
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026?: Will an earthquake of at least 7.5 magnitude occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026? 7.5+	Kalshi	74% No	$0	—	—	Open
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026?: Will an earthquake of at least 7.4 magnitude occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026? 7.4+	Kalshi	96% No	$0	—	—	Open
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026?: Will an earthquake of at least 7.3 magnitude occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026? 7.3+	Kalshi	54% No	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 09:22 PM UTC