KalshiOpen

ISM Manufacturing PMI in September: ISM Manufacturing PMI in Sep 2026? At least 54

At least 5478%
No22%

Price checked at

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24h volume$337.8
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 1, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 23Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the headline PMI value in the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business for Sep 2026, as published by ISM (one decimal place), is at least 54, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

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As of Sep 30, 01:17 AM UTC