Loading…
Predxy

Search

Type at least two characters.

KalshiOpen

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.46% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.47% or above

4.47% or above68%
No32%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesSep 30, 2026in 21 hours

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.46% on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 30, 2026, or one week following Sep 30, 2026.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.68% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.69% or aboveKalshi99% 4.69% or aboveOpen
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.78% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.79% or aboveKalshi98% 4.79% or aboveOpen
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.76% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.77% or aboveKalshi99% 4.77% or aboveOpen
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.72% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.73% or aboveKalshi99% 4.73% or aboveOpen
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.74% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.75% or aboveKalshi99% 4.75% or aboveOpen
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.70% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.71% or aboveKalshi99% 4.71% or aboveOpen
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.88% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.89% or aboveKalshi67% 4.89% or aboveOpen
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.80% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.81% or aboveKalshi98% 4.81% or aboveOpen
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.38% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.39% or aboveKalshi99% 4.39% or aboveOpen
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.36% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.37% or aboveKalshi51% 4.37% or aboveOpen
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.22% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.23% or aboveKalshi95% 4.23% or aboveOpen
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.62% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.63% or aboveKalshi99% 4.63% or aboveOpen
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.66% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.67% or aboveKalshi99% 4.67% or aboveOpen
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.65% or aboveKalshi99% 4.65% or aboveOpen
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.60% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.61% or aboveKalshi99% 4.61% or aboveOpen
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.56% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.57% or aboveKalshi99% 4.57% or aboveOpen
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.85% or aboveKalshi74% 4.85% or aboveOpen
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.86% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.87% or aboveKalshi67% NoOpen
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.83% or aboveKalshi52% NoOpen
2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?: Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% on Sep 30, 2026? 5.01% or aboveKalshi89% NoOpen
2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?: Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.98% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.99% or aboveKalshi90% NoOpen
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.97% or aboveKalshi88% NoOpen
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.95% or aboveKalshi90% NoOpen
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.93% or aboveKalshi54% NoOpen
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.90% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.91% or aboveKalshi58% 4.91% or aboveOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Sep 29, 10:23 PM UTC