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KalshiDelisted

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?: Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.72% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.73% or above

4.73% or above93%
No7%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread12%
ResolvesSep 30, 2026in 9 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 6Sep 10Sep 14Sep 18

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.72% on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 30, 2026, or one week following Sep 30, 2026.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% on Sep 30, 2026? 5.03% or aboveKalshi99% 5.03% or aboveOpen
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% on Sep 30, 2026? 5.05% or aboveKalshi99% 5.05% or aboveOpen
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.26% on Sep 30, 2026? 5.27% or aboveKalshi54% 5.27% or aboveOpen
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.20% on Sep 30, 2026? 5.21% or aboveKalshi86% 5.21% or aboveOpen
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.22% on Sep 30, 2026? 5.23% or aboveKalshi51% NoOpen
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.24% on Sep 30, 2026? 5.25% or aboveKalshi58% 5.25% or aboveOpen
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% on Sep 30, 2026? 5.11% or aboveKalshi99% 5.11% or aboveOpen
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.88% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.89% or aboveKalshi99% 4.89% or aboveOpen
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.86% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.87% or aboveKalshi99% 4.87% or aboveOpen
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.85% or aboveKalshi99% 4.85% or aboveOpen
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.62% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.63% or aboveKalshi99% 4.63% or aboveOpen
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.83% or aboveKalshi99% 4.83% or aboveOpen
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.68% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.69% or aboveKalshi99% 4.69% or aboveOpen
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.76% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.77% or aboveKalshi99% 4.77% or aboveOpen
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.65% or aboveKalshi98% 4.65% or aboveOpen
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.66% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.67% or aboveKalshi99% 4.67% or aboveOpen
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.60% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.61% or aboveKalshi99% 4.61% or aboveOpen
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% on Sep 30, 2026? 5.09% or aboveKalshi99% 5.09% or aboveOpen
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.95% or aboveKalshi99% 4.95% or aboveOpen
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.98% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.99% or aboveKalshi99% 4.99% or aboveOpen
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% on Sep 30, 2026? 5.01% or aboveKalshi99% 5.01% or aboveOpen
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% on Sep 30, 2026? 5.07% or aboveKalshi99% 5.07% or aboveOpen
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.93% or aboveKalshi99% 4.93% or aboveOpen
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.90% on Sep 30, 2026? 4.91% or aboveKalshi99% 4.91% or aboveOpen
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.16% on Sep 30, 2026? 5.17% or aboveKalshi88% 5.17% or aboveOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
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Open interest—
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As of Sep 30, 10:20 AM UTC