Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of September?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of September 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
Sourcehttps://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD
The same question elsewhere
2 venues carry it- Polymarketthis market
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of September?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of September 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
7 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 26, 03:21 AM UTC
- OpinionOpen →
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above … end of September — 200
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.
read Sep 30, 06:36 AM UTC
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of September? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of September? | Polymarket | 93% Yes | Open |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of September? | Polymarket | 91% Yes | Open |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of September? | Polymarket | 92% Yes | Open |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of September? | Polymarket | 51% Yes | Open |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 end of September? | Polymarket | 92% Yes | Open |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $240 end of September? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $250 end of September? | Polymarket | 92% No | Open |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $280 end of September? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of September? | Polymarket | 92% Yes | Open |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $260 end of September? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $270 end of September? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 4 days agoBest bid 87% · best ask 99%
Top holders
- grasstoucher6937275033596286734380202692999304329558859973605346444464535735631033581606529
- CamelUp57492053518669088691695402251203665198556458794761471444337104980160908213867
- Exemplary-Decisionmaking57492053518669088691695402251203665198556458794761471444337104980160908213867
- GellerCharlie37275033596286734380202692999304329558859973605346444464535735631033581606529
- bjprolo57492053518669088691695402251203665198556458794761471444337104980160908213867
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
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Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 30, 06:38 AM UTC