Will Sam Mayer win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?

No98%
Yes2%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$67.6
Spread5%
ResolvesNov 7, 2026next month

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the driver who wins the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series (Xfinity Series) championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series (Xfinity Series) championship (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series (Xfinity Series) season is cancelled, postponed after November 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion crowned within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from NASCAR (https://www.nascar.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.nascar.com

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket uses NASCAR (and potentially credible reporting) and includes explicit cancellation/postponement and mathematical-elimination rules; Kalshi provides no comparable source or contingency criteria. Kalshi resolves on the stated condition, while Polymarket lists a later administrative resolution time.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Sam Mayer win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?

    This market will resolve according to the driver who wins the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series (Xfinity Series) championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series (Xfinity Series) championship (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series (Xfinity Series) season is cancelled, postponed after November 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion crowned within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from NASCAR (https://www.nascar.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    11 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 29, 04:54 PM UTC

  • KalshiOpen →

    Will Sam Mayer be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?

    If Sam Mayer wins the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Sep 29, 08:14 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders11
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Top holders

  • macrosteaks21468384545808237923467037740444012602666357868396955208941720187821849080556
  • Spectrum21468384545808237923467037740444012602666357868396955208941720187821849080556
  • GuyFromTinder115074223178207454180629161097780021470920294279760299485916142465073993718101
  • pppnn115074223178207454180629161097780021470920294279760299485916142465073993718101
  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296621468384545808237923467037740444012602666357868396955208941720187821849080556

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY98%$6.95 days ago
  • BUY100%$85 days ago
  • BUY96%$10.57 days ago
  • BUY93%$18.67 days ago
  • BUY94%$19.710 days ago
  • SELL1%$0.210 days ago

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As of Sep 29, 09:19 PM UTC