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Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Yes74%
No26%

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24h volume$94.9
7d volume$203.4
30d volume$752.1
Liquidity$435.1
Spread8%
ResolvesJan 21, 2027in 4 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket57% YesOpen
Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket94% YesOpen
Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket90% NoOpen
Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket85% NoOpen
Will "The Drama" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket80% YesOpen
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket86% NoOpen
Will "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket59% YesOpen
Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket93% NoOpen
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket69% YesOpen
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket81% YesOpen
Will "La Bola Negra" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket93% YesOpen
Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket85% NoOpen

Venue activity

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Comments4

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4 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • ImNotBetting · 2 months ago

    You could ask them on Discord but yeah they are very lazy

  • masnjr · 2 months ago

    polymarket staff are lazy asf and dont care about these markets. they will take 6 months to add those options

  • Highboard · 2 months ago

    You are missing some obvious options, Obsession, Behemoth!, No One Cares

  • Sinud · 3 months ago

    Fjord FTW!

As of Sep 29, 10:59 PM UTC