PolymarketOpen

Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?

No90%

Yes11%

Price checked at Sep 30, 03:03 AM UTC

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24h volume$95

7d volume$4.8K

30d volume$19.2K

Liquidity$3.1K

Spread1%

ResolvesNov 1, 2026next month

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify. Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.

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As of Sep 30, 03:30 AM UTC