PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Colts vs Commanders: spread: Colts (-3.5)

Colts51%

Commanders50%

Price checked at Sep 29, 11:15 PM UTC

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24h volume$124K

7d volume$144.1K

30d volume$144.1K

Liquidity$50.9K

Spread1%

ResolvesOct 4, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Colts" if the Colts win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Commanders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Sourcehttps://www.nfl.com/scores

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket cites NFL.com and specifies tie, postponement, and cancellation rules; Kalshi provides no comparable resolution-source or contingency details. These are resolution-method differences, not differences in the underlying question.

Polymarketthis market
Colts vs Commanders: spread: Colts (-3.5)
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Colts" if the Colts win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Commanders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
KalshiOpen →
IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Spread: spread: IND Colts (-3.5)
If IND Colts wins by more than 3.5 points in the IND Colts vs WAS Commanders Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
read Sep 29, 10:50 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
2H Spread: Colts (-14.5)	Polymarket	50% Commanders	—	—	—	Open
1Q Spread: Commanders (-13.5)	Polymarket	50% Commanders	—	—	—	Open
3Q Spread: Colts (-9.5)	Polymarket	50% Colts	—	—	—	Open
3Q Spread: Commanders (-4.5)	Polymarket	50% Colts	—	—	—	Open
3Q Spread: Commanders (-9.5)	Polymarket	50% Colts	—	—	—	Open
4Q Spread: Colts (-9.5)	Polymarket	50% Colts	—	—	—	Open
4Q Spread: Commanders (-6.5)	Polymarket	52% Colts	—	—	—	Open
4Q Spread: Commanders (-13.5)	Polymarket	50% Colts	—	—	—	Open
Colts vs Commanders: 2nd half total O/U 19.5	Polymarket	51% Over	—	—	—	Open
Colts vs Commanders: 2nd half total O/U 28.5	Polymarket	52% Over	—	—	—	Open
Colts 1H Team Total: O/U 10.5	Polymarket	50% Over	—	—	—	Open
Colts 1H Team Total: O/U 19.5	Polymarket	70% Under	—	—	—	Open
Commanders 1H Team Total: O/U 12.5	Polymarket	50% Under	—	—	—	Open
Commanders 1H Team Total: O/U 10.5	Polymarket	53% Under	—	—	—	Open
Commanders 1H Team Total: O/U 6.5	Polymarket	51% Over	—	—	—	Open
Commanders 1H Team Total: O/U 17.5	Polymarket	51% Under	—	—	—	Open
Colts 2H Team Total: O/U 6.5	Polymarket	50% Under	—	—	—	Open
Commanders 1H Team Total: O/U 20.5	Polymarket	52% Under	—	—	—	Open
Colts 2H Team Total: O/U 13.5	Polymarket	50% Under	—	—	—	Open
Colts 2H Team Total: O/U 20.5	Polymarket	50% Over	—	—	—	Open
Commanders 2H Team Total: O/U 12.5	Polymarket	50% Under	—	—	—	Open
Commanders 2H Team Total: O/U 17.5	Polymarket	50% Under	—	—	—	Open
Commanders 2H Team Total: O/U 20.5	Polymarket	50% Under	—	—	—	Open
Exact Margin: Colts by 13-18	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Exact Margin: Tie	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 11:26 PM UTC