Patriots vs Bills: Patriots wins

Bills73%
Patriots28%

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24h volume$2.2K
7d volume$13.1K
30d volume$13.1K
Liquidity$131K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 4, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00PM ET: If Patriots wins, the market will resolve to "Patriots". If Bills wins, the market will resolve to "Bills". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Sourcehttps://www.nfl.com/scores

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Opinion, Polymarket, and Limitless differ in stated resolution time (Limitless lists October 5) and whether a source URL is explicitly provided, but their event, postponement, cancellation, and tie rules materially match.
  • OpinionOpen →

    New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

    In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for 2026-10-04 17:00 UTC: If the New England Patriots win, the market will resolve to "New England Patriots". If the Buffalo Bills win, the market will resolve to "Buffalo Bills". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores

    read Sep 30, 12:06 AM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Patriots vs Bills: Patriots wins

    In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00PM ET: If Patriots wins, the market will resolve to "Patriots". If Bills wins, the market will resolve to "Bills". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • LimitlessOpen →

    Patriots vs. Bills

    In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00PM ET: If Patriots wins, the market will resolve to "Patriots". If Bills wins, the market will resolve to "Bills". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

    0 holders · read Sep 29, 11:32 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Patriots vs Bills: total O/U 53.5Polymarket63% UnderOpen
Patriots vs Bills: 2nd half: Patriots winsPolymarket50% BillsOpen
Patriots vs Bills: 2nd half total O/U 19.5Polymarket51% OverOpen
Patriots vs Bills: total O/U 32.5Polymarket92% OverOpen
Patriots vs Bills: total O/U 42.5Polymarket69% OverOpen
3Q Spread: Patriots (-14.5)Polymarket50% PatriotsOpen
2Q Spread: Bills (-6.5)Polymarket70% PatriotsOpen
2Q Spread: Bills (-14.5)Polymarket50% BillsOpen
1Q Spread: Patriots (-7.5)Polymarket66% BillsOpen
1Q Spread: Bills (-14.5)Polymarket50% PatriotsOpen
2H Spread: Patriots (-13.5)Polymarket50% BillsOpen
2H Spread: Bills (-17.5)Polymarket50% BillsOpen
Patriots vs Bills: 2nd half total O/U 16.5Polymarket51% OverOpen
Patriots vs Bills: 1st half total O/U 25.5Polymarket54% UnderOpen
Patriots vs. Bills: 1Q O/U 6.5Polymarket73% OverOpen
Patriots vs. Bills: 2Q O/U 13.5Polymarket59% OverOpen
Patriots 1H Team Total: O/U 6.5Polymarket71% OverOpen
Patriots 1H Team Total: O/U 16.5Polymarket80% UnderOpen
Patriots 1H Team Total: O/U 19.5Polymarket88% UnderOpen
Bills 1H Team Total: O/U 16.5Polymarket58% UnderOpen
Bills 2H Team Total: O/U 12.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Bills 2H Team Total: O/U 16.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Patriots vs. Bills: Both Teams to Score Points - 4QPolymarket50% NoOpen
Patriots vs. Bills: Both Teams to Score Points - 2QPolymarket50% YesOpen
Patriots vs. Bills: Both Teams to Score Points - 1QPolymarket50% NoOpen

Venue activity

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Held value—
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As of Sep 30, 12:06 AM UTC