Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in September?

No98%
Yes2%

Price checked at

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$1.6K
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 1, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 22Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Sourcehttps://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket resolves after September 30 using Pyth 1-minute candles, while Opinion uses Yahoo Finance official daily highs and resolves at essentially the same deadline. Their source and data-granularity rules differ, but not the underlying question.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in September?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

    51 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 28, 02:48 AM UTC

  • OpinionOpen →

    What price will Tesla (TSLA) hit in September 2026 — ↑ 405

    An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Tesla (TSLA) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Tesla (TSLA), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Tesla (TSLA) trades governs.

    read Sep 29, 08:05 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 in September?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in September?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in September?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 in September?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in September?Polymarket—Open
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in September?Polymarket—Open
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in September?Polymarket—Open
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 in September?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in September?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $360 in September?Polymarket—Open
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in September?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 in September?Polymarket75% NoOpen
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in September?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in September?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 in September?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in September?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $255 in September?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 in September?Polymarket50% YesOpen
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in September?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 in September?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $315 in September?Polymarket99% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders51
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 80% · best ask 99%

Top holders

  • superstonksbro63582045668115528383786833438794670696787890681669188058528065893390453942214
  • BettingQuant62382922679432629451141721005828188134367443435483403863430039716135556619746
  • pykue62382922679432629451141721005828188134367443435483403863430039716135556619746
  • GabiFP62382922679432629451141721005828188134367443435483403863430039716135556619746
  • Rohlstein6963582045668115528383786833438794670696787890681669188058528065893390453942214

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As of Sep 29, 08:22 PM UTC