PolymarketOpen

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets in October 2026?

No100%
Yes0%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$3.1K
Spread0%
ResolvesNov 1, 2026next month

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Sourcehttps://x.com/elonmusk

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets in October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets in October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets in October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets in October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets in October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets in October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets in October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets in October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets in October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets in October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in October 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in October 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in October 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in October 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in October 2026?Polymarket97% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 10:25 PM UTC