Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in September 2026?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in September 2026? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in September 2026? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
| Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in September 2026? | Polymarket | 89% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue yesterdayBest bid 24% · best ask 26%
Top holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296620202159526823614066539631484792230517882109188243500271636776706569478003824
- dsfd3335444940055880415496790001817042791362023556763616423214705372554816968471
- HeDidWearASuit335444940055880415496790001817042791362023556763616423214705372554816968471
- Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed20202159526823614066539631484792230517882109188243500271636776706569478003824
- Fair-Tan335444940055880415496790001817042791362023556763616423214705372554816968471
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As of Sep 29, 10:29 PM UTC