Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by December 31?

Yes61%
No39%

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24h volume$100
7d volume$100
30d volume$246
Liquidity$124.7
Spread22%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Heidi Overton is confirmed as Commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Heidi Overton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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  • LimitlessOpen →

    Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...: December 31

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if Heidi Overton is confirmed as Commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Heidi Overton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    0 holders · read Oct 1, 02:36 AM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by December 31?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if Heidi Overton is confirmed as Commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Heidi Overton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    15 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 27, 01:40 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30?Polymarket74% NoOpen
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31?Polymarket90% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders15
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 44% · best ask 59%

Top holders

  • DuneMentat84243055749356840853311203553715270897182087230998346171898316783336481798977
  • ayosussybenny18480671255554463393444669783218124396169950252928284468715361209133810779271
  • asfui8j918480671255554463393444669783218124396169950252928284468715361209133810779271
  • 0x0fa25657d1dd7d5152ce9f5f0e28a696549905aa18480671255554463393444669783218124396169950252928284468715361209133810779271
  • AJSV84243055749356840853311203553715270897182087230998346171898316783336481798977

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As of Oct 1, 05:15 AM UTC