Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $100,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027? | Polymarket | 62% Yes | Open |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? | Polymarket | 82% Yes | Open |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027? | Polymarket | 52% Yes | Open |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? | Polymarket | 66% Yes | Open |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2026? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 4 days agoBest bid 35% · best ask 38%
Top holders
- justdance39755486885728299186350235991174021945488348420068465029708800259748888565099
- chiriloi14280937805810759539515970307986659973331232385291190352598124260792284568431
- brashbutloveable14280937805810759539515970307986659973331232385291190352598124260792284568431
- 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca739755486885728299186350235991174021945488348420068465029708800259748888565099
- BUCKER39755486885728299186350235991174021945488348420068465029708800259748888565099
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL63%$66 days ago
- SELL63%$66 days ago
- BUY66%$506 days ago
- BUY66%$1.36 days ago
- SELL63%$16 days ago
- SELL35%$8.46 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 29, 11:22 PM UTC