Will Flop launch a token by June 30, 2027?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flop officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Flop after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Flop (https://x.com/flop_labs), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flop launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Polymarket | 98% No | Open |
| Will Flop launch a token by March 31, 2027? | Polymarket | 70% Yes | Open |
| Will Flop launch a token by September 30, 2027? | Polymarket | 88% Yes | Open |
| Will Flop launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 61% No | Open |
| Will Flop launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Polymarket | 88% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 3 days agoBest bid 66% · best ask 68%
Top holders
- Maxima38566339655511676677556337696294891147901054603659657333697823163016474681870
- TruongMyLan58467703808010613222480272104837187422432989432256233751687756702357353767964
- gydmasg58467703808010613222480272104837187422432989432256233751687756702357353767964
- chessplayer58467703808010613222480272104837187422432989432256233751687756702357353767964
- AJSV58467703808010613222480272104837187422432989432256233751687756702357353767964
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY27%$1.95 days ago
- BUY27%$3.39 days ago
- BUY67%$3.49 days ago
- BUY27%$613 days ago
- BUY34%$5.114 days ago
- SELL66%$7.923 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 29, 10:11 PM UTC