Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in June 2027 (ET)?

No99%
Yes1%

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24h volume$139.9
7d volume$139.9
30d volume$3.3K
Liquidity$3.2K
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange. An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The published criteria are identical; Polymarket lists a formal resolution time of January 1, 2028, while PredictFun lists none. This is a settlement-time metadata difference, not a difference in the question.
  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in June 2027 (ET)?

    This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange. An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.

    read Sep 29, 03:31 PM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in June 2027 (ET)?

    This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange. An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.

    24 holders · 4 comments · read Sep 27, 02:37 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Polymarket61% YesOpen
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Polymarket83% NoOpen
Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in May 2027 (ET)?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2027 (ET)?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in February 2027 (ET)?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in March 2027 (ET)?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in August 2027 (ET)?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in July 2027 (ET)?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2027 (ET)?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2027 (ET)?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2027 (ET)?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?Polymarket95% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders24
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments4

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296639931181826402881982147726070265034750195779816098597117670494450032492057401
  • BBB886668610714195926109481707557275678726631930780637738924546669252252676573242706
  • dontshowmyname68610714195926109481707557275678726631930780637738924546669252252676573242706
  • balthazar68610714195926109481707557275678726631930780637738924546669252252676573242706
  • BBBBBB88668610714195926109481707557275678726631930780637738924546669252252676573242706

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY100%$11.97 days ago
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  • BUY100%$40.97 days ago
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  • BUY1%$0.911 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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4 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • DegeneratedGambler-088 · 8 days ago

    @dan

  • lexdpc · 9 days ago

    @DancewithRisk 哥们咋俩加个微信

  • lexdpc · 9 days ago

    @dance

  • Vodka- · last month

    wallstengine : ANTHROPIC COULD GO PUBLIC AS SOON AS NEXT MONTH Anthropic plans to unveil its IPO prospectus after Labor Day, with a potential listing in late September or early October Also considering letting existing shareholders sell stock in the IPO while using longer-than-usual lockups

As of Sep 29, 08:26 PM UTC