Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Lindsay Clancy has been charged by The Commonwealth of Massachusetts with three counts of murder for the death of her three children. You can read more about that here: https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lindsay Clancy is convicted of at least one murder charge in the ongoing Commonwealth v. Lindsay Clancy case by either the specified date, 11:59 PM ET or, in the event of a mistrial, by the end of any retrial that begins before that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this case ends due to a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, or results in a verdict of Not Guilty for all murder charges (including by reason of lack of criminal responsibility due to mental illness), this market will resolve to "No". A plea agreement will qualify to resolve this market "Yes" only if it results in a judgment of conviction for murder. If all murder charges against Clancy are dropped, or otherwise changed such that they are no longer considered murder, this market will immediately resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? | Polymarket | 80% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 8 days agoBest bid 94% · best ask 95%
Top holders
- Kevindoto102072737540439581721560119461604847465937488446785735397007396696309035351749
- pmtosat-102072737540439581721560119461604847465937488446785735397007396696309035351749
- The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA102072737540439581721560119461604847465937488446785735397007396696309035351749
- bussydouglas58473826059274920339490957825160429600026959847330184888567837242479159822103
- aff3102072737540439581721560119461604847465937488446785735397007396696309035351749
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL5%$4.98 days ago
- SELL5%$2.68 days ago
- SELL5%$0.29 days ago
- BUY5%$119 days ago
- SELL5%$5.89 days ago
- SELL5%$0.99 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
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180 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- Fierfek-Duck · 10 days ago
Three children — Cora, 5; Dawson, 3; and Callan, 8 months — lost their lives on January 24, 2023. Nothing explains it and nothing makes it acceptable. I condemn what was done to them with everything in me. A mistrial is not an ending. I hope justice comes soon, and that their names are remembered long after the noise around this case fades. Rest in peace, little ones. Heaven has you now.
- Snow-White · 21 days ago
I can think of 3 reasons: - Retrial starts before 2027 - Rules get (mis?)interpreted as paperwork initiating a Retrial functions as an extension of expiry in paragraph 2 of the rules - Evil bitch grows a conscience, and plea bargains a murder plea
- Snow-White · 21 days ago
DUMFUQ Tenebris collecting shares at bad prices like it's a Bibi market! Just wait for this dumbass to come in and start telling lies about how long he plans to keep his garbage shares. Braindead Dumfuq Tenebris always LIES
- mewmew1 · 23 days ago
delulu
- abdoohl · 24 days ago
its over for MAGA they got infested by Neocons and love endless war now so i bet feminists would love Lindsey even more if she was MAGA!
- abdoohl · 24 days ago
Why is price 5ct. I refuse to sell when price this high cuz it usually mean its not over and the thing is gonna happen
- abdoohl · 24 days ago
the kids wont come back regardless, enjoy your money without guilt and sadness my son
- Qrs13MwplLpCCFKv · 25 days ago
Kevindoto, a top earner, locked in $48,131.59 on December 31, 2026 with outcome No. That's serious skin in the game. What do they see that you don't?
- Relaccsed · 25 days ago
Sad that I won..
- Qrs13MwplLpCCFKv · 25 days ago
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, a top earner, locked in $22,206.09 on December 31, 2026 with outcome No. That's serious skin in the game. What do they see that you don't?
- ItsRigg3d · 25 days ago
Bro, I would. He must be a groyp3r.
- Qrs13MwplLpCCFKv · 25 days ago
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, a top earner, locked in $21,467.81 on December 31, 2026 with outcome No. That's serious skin in the game. What do they see that you don't?
- Qrs13MwplLpCCFKv · 25 days ago
QMG-CORE has a $3,501.02 position on December 31, 2026 with outcome No. They're already up $1,103.82 on this trade through holding their position. When someone's betting big and winning, it's worth paying attention.
- Qrs13MwplLpCCFKv · 25 days ago
QMG-CORE has a $3,501.02 position on December 31, 2026 with outcome No. They're already up $1,103.82 on this trade through holding their position. When someone's betting big and winning, it's worth paying attention.
- WhaleWatch-48276 · 26 days ago
Rex416 is up 1.05% on their $7,106.81 bet on December 31, 2026 with outcome No. Current value: $7,181.66. When you see returns like that, you pay attention.
- PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN · 26 days ago
Legend has it relay managed to make 33k this year 😱😳🤯
- Snow-White · 26 days ago
WEEBTARD raskel 🫵😂 bragging about his LOSSES 🤣🤣🤣
- Raskell · 26 days ago
- Snow-White · 26 days ago
hey WEEBTARD 🫵, why would you buy Moscow Airport for 93 then sell it for 65? sooooo DUMB 🫵😹 🤣🤣
- Snow-White · 26 days ago
MOSCOW AIRPORT, buy 93 sell 65
As of Sep 30, 01:55 PM UTC