Will Zandile Gumede be the next mayor of eThekwini?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cyril Xaba be the next mayor of eThekwini? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| Will Zwakele Mncwango be the next mayor of eThekwini? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Hlengiwe Mkhaliphi be the next mayor of eThekwini? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Nomusa Dube-Ncube be the next mayor of eThekwini? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Haniff Hoosen be the next mayor of eThekwini? | Polymarket | 81% No | Open |
| Will Maggie Govender be the next mayor of eThekwini? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Mina Soma-Lesoma be the next mayor of eThekwini? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Thabani Nyawose be the next mayor of eThekwini? | Polymarket | 85% No | Open |
| Will Philani Mavundla be the next mayor of eThekwini? | Polymarket | 89% No | Open |
| Will Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi be the next mayor of eThekwini? | Polymarket | 94% No | Open |
| Will Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi be the next mayor of eThekwini? | Polymarket | 90% No | Open |
| Will Mkhuleko Hlengwa be the next mayor of eThekwini? | Polymarket | 66% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 2 days agoTop holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296683561030814179783592784602575542302641871276154695927755930144957171631318616
- Dr.PNL95625076714485822665794790087088957959868878889999107542470486376302023475046
- InterestingUser95625076714485822665794790087088957959868878889999107542470486376302023475046
- Bodytobody95625076714485822665794790087088957959868878889999107542470486376302023475046
- LocalHunter83561030814179783592784602575542302641871276154695927755930144957171631318616
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL0%$011 days ago
- SELL0%$013 days ago
- SELL0%$013 days ago
- BUY100%$4013 days ago
- BUY100%$12.813 days ago
- SELL98%$17.619 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 30, 10:15 PM UTC