Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (5.7+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026? | Polymarket | 76% No | Open |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 81% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 8 days agoBest bid 12% · best ask 14%
Top holders
- BrownBees20938766348995551446374422094070080811874117356932039827171998454216317227441
- rsam599093368713572891128676351513154816755280372852630460948996889541137555600218700
- Waterfall93368713572891128676351513154816755280372852630460948996889541137555600218700
- Spherical-Doc93368713572891128676351513154816755280372852630460948996889541137555600218700
- Partial-Thinker20938766348995551446374422094070080811874117356932039827171998454216317227441
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY14%$1.18 days ago
- BUY89%$2508 days ago
- BUY13%$68 days ago
- BUY86%$438 days ago
- BUY70%$20.48 days ago
- BUY20%$2.88 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Sep 29, 09:30 PM UTC