Will Joaquim do MLB win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?
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Probability history
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Resolution rules
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandre Curi win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | Polymarket | 65% No | Open |
| Will Cristina Reis Graeml win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | Polymarket | 90% No | Open |
| Will Deltan Dallagnol win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | Polymarket | 87% No | Open |
| Will Gleisi win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | Polymarket | 92% No | Open |
| Will Dr. Rosinha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Karen Guerreiro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Marcelo Marcelino win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Filipe Barros win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | Polymarket | 68% No | Open |
Venue activity
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1 comment
From Polymarket's own thread- Tremendous-Duty · 21 days ago
TRE-PR confirma candidatura de Deltan Dallagnol ao Senado em 2026 Deltan Dallagnol · sinal: TRE-PR TRE confirma candidatura, removendo obstáculo legal à disputa senatorial
As of Sep 29, 10:20 PM UTC