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Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?

No54%
Yes47%

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24h volume$370
7d volume$2.9K
30d volume$17.7K
Liquidity$467.7
Spread15%
ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders88
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments1

Best bid 61% · best ask 70%

Top holders

  • InterestingUser101860402959166530336616230928024419200171915772723756148286262189388314840383
  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b12966101860402959166530336616230928024419200171915772723756148286262189388314840383
  • YoungAlphaGoat98420299973194657752122664721578840731832093957121888432046329374951216611579
  • gvbpm98420299973194657752122664721578840731832093957121888432046329374951216611579
  • Serpentine-Majority98420299973194657752122664721578840731832093957121888432046329374951216611579

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY32%$178 days ago
  • BUY32%$3.28 days ago
  • SELL30%$158 days ago
  • SELL29%$1.78 days ago
  • SELL29%$11.68 days ago
  • SELL30%$18.18 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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1 comment

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • Tremendous-Duty · 21 days ago

    TRE-PR confirma candidatura de Deltan Dallagnol ao Senado em 2026 Deltan Dallagnol · sinal: TRE-PR TRE confirma candidatura, removendo obstáculo legal à disputa senatorial

As of Sep 29, 10:21 PM UTC