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Will Mara Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?

No65%
Yes35%

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24h volume$21
7d volume$340
30d volume$2.3K
Liquidity$20.9K
Spread5%
ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders41
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments2

Best bid 47% · best ask 63%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296641341767487995426385462776383417505065037630137833997182938510872945672984987
  • balthazar4179190410878321897237903406119273627853886568144935934169472982834893995034
  • YoungAlphaGoat4179190410878321897237903406119273627853886568144935934169472982834893995034
  • sleepymonkey4179190410878321897237903406119273627853886568144935934169472982834893995034
  • 657657574179190410878321897237903406119273627853886568144935934169472982834893995034

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL59%$11.84 days ago
  • BUY37%$1145 days ago
  • SELL64%$25.65 days ago
  • SELL41%$4.16 days ago
  • BUY59%$29.56 days ago
  • BUY56%$91.86 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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2 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • Natsan · last month

    Gladison não tem ficha limpa e por isso o MPE pediu a inelegibilidade dele. O cara realmente foi condendo no STJ a mais de 25 anos de prisao por corrupção e organização criminosa

  • DarkFish · last month

    Gladson Cameli should not win, he is condemned for more than 25 years of prison. He soon will be put out of the election

As of Sep 29, 08:25 PM UTC