Will Wellington Fagundes win the 2026 Mato Grosso gubernatorial election?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafaell Milas win the 2026 Mato Grosso gubernatorial election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Doutora Natasha win the 2026 Mato Grosso gubernatorial election? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Sargento Laudicério win the 2026 Mato Grosso gubernatorial election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Otaviano Pivetta win the 2026 Mato Grosso gubernatorial election? | Polymarket | 54% Yes | Open |
| Will Mauricio Coelho win the 2026 Mato Grosso gubernatorial election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 22 hours agoBest bid 53% · best ask 57%
Top holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296641997129523684695663895874453651949101550017566047727796311524831110417792040
- lava-lava99833488426276529943778320780199480026946935484904570551201702035376987743983
- JAMJAMJAM499833488426276529943778320780199480026946935484904570551201702035376987743983
- buoys99833488426276529943778320780199480026946935484904570551201702035376987743983
- Ryxon2141997129523684695663895874453651949101550017566047727796311524831110417792040
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY52%$53 days ago
- BUY51%$25.510 days ago
- SELL50%$2.511 days ago
- BUY42%$8.411 days ago
- SELL54%$5.413 days ago
- SELL57%$2.916 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 30, 10:17 PM UTC