First Round Outright Winner in the GA-04 House Election?

Yes91%
No9%

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24h volume$93
7d volume$93
30d volume$1K
Liquidity$12.3K
Spread0%
ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 11 days

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-04 House election.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ in settlement timing and source wording: Polymarket uses credible reporting and ultimately official state certification, while PolymarketUs cites relevant government authorities and additional jurisdictional rules. These do not appear to change the underlying event, but the linked full rules should be checked.
  • Polymarketthis market

    First Round Outright Winner in the GA-04 House Election?

    The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-04 House election.

  • GA-04 House Election: First Round Outright Winner? — Yes

    This market will settle to Yes if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm election for the GA-04 congressional district seat outright in the first round. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. A candidate wins outright in the first round if they satisfy all applicable requirements to be declared the winner in the first round under the rules of the relevant jurisdiction. If no candidate satisfies these requirements, this market will settle to No, regardless of whether a second round or runoff is avoided through the withdrawal or disqualification of another candidate or any other circumstance. For full rules, see: https://www.polymarketexchange.com/files/products/PMUS%20-%20FREWCUSH%20-%20(2026.09.22).pdf

    read Oct 24, 10:31 AM UTC

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As of Oct 24, 04:58 PM UTC