Will ropz Get Pulled Over Again in 2026?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robin "ropz" Kool is pulled over by law enforcement between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying stop occurs when law enforcement officers in any jurisdiction signal or direct a motor vehicle driven by ropz to stop, regardless of the reason for the stop and regardless of whether it results in a fine, a warning, or no penalty. Stops at fixed checkpoints or border crossings, stops of vehicles in which ropz is a passenger rather than the driver will not count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. A qualifying stop must be publicly confirmed to have occurred. Confirmation may come from a statement or footage published by ropz, from an official law enforcement statement, or from credible reporting. A statement by ropz will qualify only if it explicitly describes a stop that actually occurred; jokes, memes, or hypothetical references will not qualify. If a qualifying stop occurs within the window, this market will resolve to "Yes" once it is publicly confirmed. A qualifying stop that is not publicly confirmed by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET will not qualify, and if no qualifying stop has been confirmed by that time this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be public statements from ropz and/or local, state, or federal law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue activity
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As of Sep 30, 07:37 AM UTC