Will Chen Su-yueh win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wei Ping-cheng win the next Changhua County Magistrate election? | Polymarket | 92% No | Open |
| Will Chiu Chien-fu win the next Changhua County Magistrate election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Huang Hsiu-fang win the next Changhua County Magistrate election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Lin Shih-hsien win the next Changhua County Magistrate election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Hung Jung-chang win the next Changhua County Magistrate election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 5 days agoBest bid 91% · best ask 93%
Top holders
- NVIDIAAA23385875738650482312800307475352474718596666487748656932569639308817725581803
- rainbowlilies3188236172701766478059486037822685702715495898995750947106229139533174129313
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b129663188236172701766478059486037822685702715495898995750947106229139533174129313
- The-Dove23385875738650482312800307475352474718596666487748656932569639308817725581803
- 74-753188236172701766478059486037822685702715495898995750947106229139533174129313
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL8%$0.812 days ago
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- SELL11%$23.813 days ago
- SELL11%$12.813 days ago
- SELL11%$2.914 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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1 comment
From Polymarket's own thread- tiongbu · 2 months ago
Ah Chang got good chance
As of Sep 30, 08:12 AM UTC