Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chen Pin-an win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 15 hours agoBest bid 91% · best ask 91%
Top holders
- NVIDIAAA92681742642019853324432479428717476484483995014341304586158152798557232893169
- ACara96031542104486839621685932382397512819325884421442455861615370802674062635535
- baybug92681742642019853324432479428717476484483995014341304586158152798557232893169
- Flamboyant-Warming96031542104486839621685932382397512819325884421442455861615370802674062635535
- Haradwaith96031542104486839621685932382397512819325884421442455861615370802674062635535
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
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- SELL10%$4.916 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Oct 1, 06:10 AM UTC