Will Chen Wan-hui win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?
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Probability history
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Resolution rules
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wu Tsung-hsien win the next Yilan County Magistrate election? | Polymarket | 71% No | Open |
| Will Lin Kuo-chang win the next Yilan County Magistrate election? | Polymarket | 69% Yes | Open |
| Will Chang Sheng-te win the next Yilan County Magistrate election? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 10:57 PM UTC