Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Venue activity
Read from the venue 4 days agoBest bid 90% · best ask 94%
Top holders
- Spanish-Priority6092687540648020217765959894355080995341636956078753212673854620720028215857
- grant20086092687540648020217765959894355080995341636956078753212673854620720028215857
- 0xeb27b1503e45a26f8e243f845279fd57f5e9ebb078526245471114836516957578360319347386451041896764196131845069390567636670223
- 3awerpoghaoe78526245471114836516957578360319347386451041896764196131845069390567636670223
- waihin78526245471114836516957578360319347386451041896764196131845069390567636670223
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY90%$15.36 days ago
- BUY89%$36.56 days ago
- BUY89%$17.86 days ago
- BUY89%$87.56 days ago
- SELL89%$17.76 days ago
- SELL89%$35.47 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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5 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- TheRedGuard · 28 days ago
The Himalayan Tiger of Lhasa
- haha0906020115 · last month
追悼会算吗
- Tingo2026 · last month
这规则也太无聊了。在这个时间范围内拍的不一定立刻播出，在这个时间范围内播出的又大概率是过去的存货。
- Chims · 2 months ago
请把我的歌带回你的家 请把你的微笑留下
- ForestWindy · 2 months ago
-1
As of Oct 1, 06:10 AM UTC