PolymarketOpen

Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?

No60%
Yes41%

Price checked at

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24h volume$97
7d volume$283.1
30d volume$2.6K
Liquidity$255
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 31, 2026next month

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Polymarket71% NoOpen
Will Meta be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Polymarket86% NoOpen
Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will SpaceXAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Xiaomi be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Anthropic be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will ByteDance be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will MiniMax be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will DeepSeek be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Thinky be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Tencent be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Poolside be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
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Venue activity

Holders32
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 40% · best ask 41%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296642528196898757641166046631937385343551070099357776686647538115006943355977389
  • ScientificOctopus24962946993870836881856022182048869027008589616111681515545719813967719056654
  • HerrieDavis24962946993870836881856022182048869027008589616111681515545719813967719056654
  • 1in100024962946993870836881856022182048869027008589616111681515545719813967719056654
  • molodoyy24962946993870836881856022182048869027008589616111681515545719813967719056654

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY60%$125 days ago
  • SELL40%$85 days ago
  • BUY36%$16 days ago
  • BUY35%$17.56 days ago
  • BUY35%$76 days ago
  • BUY34%$16 days ago

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As of Sep 29, 10:26 PM UTC