PolymarketOpen

Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?

No78%
Yes22%

Price checked at

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24h volume$94.1
7d volume$2.2K
30d volume$5.8K
Liquidity$993.6
Spread4%
ResolvesNov 1, 2026next month

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Other legs of this event

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Will Thinky be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Tencent be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Poolside be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Mistral be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Polymarket72% YesOpen
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Z.ai be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will SpaceXAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Meta be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Google be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will DeepSeek be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders25
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 53% · best ask 53%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296642705237627682668469924292939507762108345332327579462013567790494803986550248
  • qianyi202633124686071447872591837856193560276573761795900596895215205281523818424594324
  • IAMPEPPER33124686071447872591837856193560276573761795900596895215205281523818424594324
  • tradetosurvive133124686071447872591837856193560276573761795900596895215205281523818424594324
  • AJSV42705237627682668469924292939507762108345332327579462013567790494803986550248

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL47%$0.88 days ago
  • SELL47%$9.39 days ago
  • BUY50%$2.59 days ago
  • BUY50%$2.59 days ago
  • BUY50%$9.99 days ago
  • BUY45%$99 days ago

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As of Sep 29, 10:59 PM UTC