PolymarketOpen

Will Mistral have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?

No100%
Yes0%

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24h volume$416.2
7d volume$825.3
30d volume$1.1K
Liquidity$1.4K
Spread0%
ResolvesOct 31, 2026next month

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Z.ai have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Alibaba have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will DeepSeek have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Xiaomi have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will MiniMax have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Nvidia have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Baidu have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Amazon have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will ByteDance have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Meituan have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Microsoft have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Polymarket84% YesOpen
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will Meta have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders26
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 0% · best ask 0%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296630628709709336944535304716662084534456181352177286034029816541234460900994716
  • Kaskstp27983202085799710555223653310825811292190829677115256372591573533939138421448
  • Deafening-Possible27983202085799710555223653310825811292190829677115256372591573533939138421448
  • 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.27983202085799710555223653310825811292190829677115256372591573533939138421448
  • haveagoodday27983202085799710555223653310825811292190829677115256372591573533939138421448

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY100%$11.13 days ago
  • BUY100%$103 days ago
  • BUY100%$303 days ago
  • BUY100%$83.83 days ago
  • BUY100%$23.54 days ago
  • BUY100%$12.84 days ago

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As of Sep 29, 11:21 PM UTC