Will there be a power grid emergency in New England before October 1?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market resolves "Yes" if ISO New England (ISO-NE) — the grid operator for the six New England states of Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont — declares a NERC Energy Emergency Alert at Level 2 (EEA-2) or Level 3 (EEA-3) at any point from this market's creation through 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026. A lower EEA-1 declaration does not qualify. A declaration qualifies as long as it happened before the deadline, even if it is only documented or reported afterward. A DOE Section 202(c) emergency order is not a NERC EEA declaration and does not qualify. Because Energy Emergency Alerts are federally reportable, a qualifying declaration is also verifiable through mandatory NERC or U.S. Department of Energy records (DOE Form OE-417, published at https://www.oe.netl.doe.gov/oe417.aspx) even if no other source captures it. The declaration will be confirmed by any official ISO New England communication — its press releases (https://www.iso-ne.com/about/news-media/press-releases), market notices, or real-time system-status postings — or by credible national news reporting. It qualifies as long as the declaration itself happened before the deadline, even if it is only documented or reported afterward. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be a power grid emergency in New York before October 1? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will there be a power grid emergency in California before October 1? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will there be a power grid emergency in the Central US before October 1? | Polymarket | 98% No | Open |
| Will there be a power grid emergency in Texas before October 1? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 30, 02:51 PM UTC