Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?

No81%
Yes19%

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24h volume$15.9
7d volume$475.2
30d volume$24.4K
Liquidity$4.5K
Spread6%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi officially announces his retirement from club-level professional soccer by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that Messi is retiring or indefinitely departing from club-level professional soccer with the intention of not participating in any club competition. The announcement must come from Messi himself or official representatives thereof. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure from club competition intended to be effective within 12 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither "I will leave club soccer in 2 years," nor "I will not play forever," would qualify). If Messi retires in a qualifying manner but maintains, renews, or announces his intention to participate in international soccer (e.g., for the Argentina national team), that retirement will still qualify. International soccer participation will have no bearing on this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the named individual or authorized representatives thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

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  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi officially announces his retirement from club-level professional soccer by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that Messi is retiring or indefinitely departing from club-level professional soccer with the intention of not participating in any club competition. The announcement must come from Messi himself or official representatives thereof. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure from club competition intended to be effective within 12 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither "I will leave club soccer in 2 years," nor "I will not play forever," would qualify). If Messi retires in a qualifying manner but maintains, renews, or announces his intention to participate in international soccer (e.g., for the Argentina national team), that retirement will still qualify. International soccer participation will have no bearing on this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the named individual or authorized representatives thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    66 holders · 8 comments · read Sep 27, 01:04 PM UTC

  • LimitlessOpen →

    Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi officially announces his retirement from club-level professional soccer by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that Messi is retiring or indefinitely departing from club-level professional soccer with the intention of not participating in any club competition. The announcement must come from Messi himself or official representatives thereof. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure from club competition intended to be effective within 12 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither "I will leave club soccer in 2 years," nor "I will not play forever," would qualify). If Messi retires in a qualifying manner but maintains, renews, or announces his intention to participate in international soccer (e.g., for the Argentina national team), that retirement will still qualify. International soccer participation will have no bearing on this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the named individual or authorized representatives thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    1 holders · read Sep 30, 04:48 PM UTC

Venue activity

Holders66
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments8

Best bid 12% · best ask 14%

Top holders

  • yenky544738819840271536303463009010319551467942746032103858885974418472462270057
  • LaPulgaLeo72317194236980254875368491506167165273603345126490689131445086018631810760873
  • wigglew72317194236980254875368491506167165273603345126490689131445086018631810760873
  • Vivacious-Meeting544738819840271536303463009010319551467942746032103858885974418472462270057
  • gkeqd72317194236980254875368491506167165273603345126490689131445086018631810760873

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8 comments

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  • Faithfullz · 28 days ago

    He definitely won't hang up his boot by the end of this year, but there is a small probability that he will tell us when he retires like Ronaldo did

  • Little-Anguish · last month

    you all retired for buying yes

  • Cabjez · last month

    Buy yes fast he just retired

  • mmmchezburger · last month

    plsss retireee messiii pork

  • Car · last month

    Lol

  • -Dominus- · last month

    CAR how tf did u got fills at 50c gg

  • Smaliy · last month

    he retired from the national team weirdos

  • ayosussybenny · last month

    omg no way messi retired

As of Oct 1, 02:13 AM UTC