Will Marguerite Humeau win the Turner Prize 2026?
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Probability history
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Resolution rules
The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026. If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026? | Polymarket | 90% No | Open |
| Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026? | Polymarket | 91% No | Open |
| Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026? | Polymarket | 62% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 09:23 PM UTC