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Will Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections?

No58%
Yes43%

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24h volume$195
7d volume$371.1
30d volume$1.9K
Liquidity$585.9
Spread11%
ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders31
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 55% · best ask 64%

Top holders

  • LocalHunter37400107666120215477036066699346769817037660641038427110865046693309692640844
  • AMAM1337400107666120215477036066699346769817037660641038427110865046693309692640844
  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296637400107666120215477036066699346769817037660641038427110865046693309692640844
  • InterestingUser87451273646146512690272619970557054065305360149785906500107878230873908268241
  • LocalFisherman87451273646146512690272619970557054065305360149785906500107878230873908268241

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY55%$14.99 days ago
  • BUY34%$55.710 days ago
  • SELL33%$3.312 days ago
  • SELL33%$6.613 days ago
  • SELL33%$12.720 days ago
  • BUY65%$12.123 days ago

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As of Sep 29, 11:16 PM UTC