Will Democrats sweep the Iowa Senate and Governor elections?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win the Iowa Governor election and Democrats win the Iowa Senate election? | Polymarket | 98% No | Open |
| Will Democrats win the Iowa Governor election and Republicans win the Iowa Senate election? | Polymarket | 62% No | Open |
| Will Republicans sweep the Iowa Senate and Governor elections? | Polymarket | 86% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 14 hours agoBest bid 57% · best ask 58%
Top holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b12966103900098397838031869873362952038477265785795738398990842989473706281501553943
- G.Hchen111896898782836052462753707589783606863185498006833980511047398300739652607070
- peepeepooppoop103900098397838031869873362952038477265785795738398990842989473706281501553943
- sollydisa111896898782836052462753707589783606863185498006833980511047398300739652607070
- Moonstart13111896898782836052462753707589783606863185498006833980511047398300739652607070
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL43%$8.62 days ago
- SELL43%$8.62 days ago
- BUY57%$11.42 days ago
- BUY57%$11.42 days ago
- SELL43%$8.62 days ago
- BUY41%$16.42 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Oct 1, 10:05 AM UTC