Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Janine Lélis win the Cape Verde presidential election? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Joana Rosa win the Cape Verde presidential election? | Polymarket | 90% No | Open |
| Will Casimiro de Pina win the Cape Verde presidential election? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| Will Milton Paiva win the Cape Verde presidential election? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Fernando Delgado win the Cape Verde presidential election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Péricles Tavares win the Cape Verde presidential election? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 10:57 PM UTC