Will Jakob Schirmer be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Ministerpräsident of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Ministerpräsident will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Ministerpräsident takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Claudia Müller be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Leif-Erik Holm be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | Polymarket | 98% No | Open |
| Will Daniel Peters be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Simone Oldenburg be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | Polymarket | 98% Yes | Open |
| Will Enrico Schult be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 30, 12:10 PM UTC