Will Steffen Krach be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
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Probability history
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Resolution rules
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kristin Brinker be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | Polymarket | 80% Yes | Open |
| Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | Polymarket | 84% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 8 days agoBest bid 100% · best ask —
Top holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296660114374608000095420742619034193337335681884728669082360909975023008372524475
- balthazar85530983170124011462657332554038213132711204095353611602082958713565320425627
- InterestingUser85530983170124011462657332554038213132711204095353611602082958713565320425627
- QMG-CORE60114374608000095420742619034193337335681884728669082360909975023008372524475
- hochnaesigezicke85530983170124011462657332554038213132711204095353611602082958713565320425627
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Recent trades
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Discussion on Predxy
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9 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- Darling-Eurocentrism-Stepbrother · 6 days ago
No Evers> Yes Eralp 😉
- sucuk-mit-ei · 7 days ago
evers is not happening. grüne + spd electing evers instead of eralp here would result in massive loss of trust in their non-conservative voter base and lead to even worse outcomes in the future
- Darling-Eurocentrism-Stepbrother · 7 days ago
Greens& Spd are not going to backstab Linke. It's more likely that the Spd might not want to be part of the government
- CELOGUENDOUZI · 7 days ago
Evers will do it, you will remember this comment
- ElonFork · 21 days ago
SVEN !!! OLAF !! BEST FRIENDS 😇
- ElonSleep · 27 days ago
not gonna happen. if werner wasnt gay i would think hes flirting with elif the way he talks about her
- vinii · 27 days ago
Kenya coalition.
- ElonSleep · 27 days ago
doesnt matter. greens and spd do. even if cdu wins they will still build a coalition with linke over cdu
- vinii · 27 days ago
Berlin doesn't want a communist mayor
As of Sep 29, 11:22 PM UTC