SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?

No75%
Yes25%

Price checked at

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24h volume$249
7d volume$3.3K
30d volume$16.2K
Liquidity$1.2K
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 1, 2026next month

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) releases a model, and that model is made available to the general public between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be an AI model released by SSI or associated with SSI and confirmed as such by SSI or by a consensus of credible reporting. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SSI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SSI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. The published criteria differ in no material way; Polymarket lists a settlement time, while PredictFun does not provide one.
  • Polymarketthis market

    SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) releases a model, and that model is made available to the general public between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be an AI model released by SSI or associated with SSI and confirmed as such by SSI or by a consensus of credible reporting. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SSI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SSI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    78 holders · 2 comments · read Sep 29, 08:04 PM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) releases a model, and that model is made available to the general public between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be an AI model released by SSI or associated with SSI and confirmed as such by SSI or by a consensus of credible reporting. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SSI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SSI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    read Sep 29, 11:38 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?Polymarket98% NoOpen
SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?Polymarket56% YesOpen
SSI public model released by December 31, 2026?Polymarket54% YesOpen

Venue activity

Holders78
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments2

Best bid 23% · best ask 24%

Top holders

  • InterestingUser37836607551090309945072284270235960795024499777311018111655884741495870346460
  • arbandy37836607551090309945072284270235960795024499777311018111655884741495870346460
  • Flimsy-Chorus2597454256106162638938909925221980549336338565028284046351545119532768296631
  • Cheerful-Nucleotidase2597454256106162638938909925221980549336338565028284046351545119532768296631
  • aYolo2597454256106162638938909925221980549336338565028284046351545119532768296631

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY77%$1.512 hours ago
  • SELL74%$10yesterday
  • SELL75%$10.1yesterday
  • BUY25%$5yesterday
  • BUY25%$50yesterday
  • SELL79%$55.12 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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2 comments

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  • chessplayer · 2 months ago

    ?

  • spxtest · 2 months ago

    f*ck @chessplayer,manipulating odds,dont buy

As of Sep 30, 12:24 AM UTC