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Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?

Up100%
Down0%

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24h volume—
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Liquidity$5.2K
Spread0%
ResolvesSep 21, 20269 days ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 70.8%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 70.8%. If the reported turnout is exactly 70.8%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleitung Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (https://www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/) and the Statistisches Amt Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (https://www.laiv-mv.de/Statistik/).

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As of Sep 30, 01:20 PM UTC