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Will Marianna Schreiber win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?

No100%
Yes0%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$12.7K
Spread0%
ResolvesSep 28, 20262 days ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.

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1 comment

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • Asbestoss · 5 days ago

    most recent poll: "Gibala gained 32.88 percent support. Monika Piątkowska, supported by KO and PSL, received 27.78 percent. Drewnicki in third place The remaining candidates recorded clearly lower scores. Michał Drewnicki gained 16.11 percent of support, and Aleksandra Owiec 11.01 percent."

As of Sep 29, 10:30 PM UTC